We are delighted with the coverage of our latest survey about Labour voters’ view on Brexit in a number of respected media platforms. We hope it moves the debate in the right direction. See more here:

Jeremy Corbyn under pressure to change course as poll shows Labour voters want soft Brexit
Tim Shipman Sunday 18 June 2017 12.01 AM
Read on thetimes.co.uk

Brexit: British people have changed their minds on leaving the EU, poll finds
Chris Baynes Sunday 18 June 2017 08.45 BST
Read on independent.co.uk

A new poll today shows Labour voters overwhelmingly oppose a hard Brexit preferring – by a margin of more than three to one – the continuation of unrestricted trade with the EU without tariff barriers over efforts to control immigration.

The poll was conducted this week by YouGov – whose statistical modeling correctly forecast a hung parliament in the last election – for the think tank, Global Future. It shows the deep polarization between Britain’s two main parties over the issue of Brexit which was, by a clear margin, the most important issue facing voters in last week’s General Election.

Almost three quarters (72%) of Conservative voters said leaving the EU was a key factor in deciding which party to support. Of these, a total of 86% said they wanted to ensure Britain did not back away from plans to leave the EU or explicitly stated they wanted a hard Brexit.

Labour voters were less likely to cite Brexit as the main reason to back the party but the issue was still second only to health among its supporters. Among the 35% of Labour voters who said Brexit motivated their vote, 47% explicitly said they wanted a soft Brexit with a further quarter (27%) opposed to Britain’s departure from the EU all together. Just 4% said they wanted a hard Brexit while a further 11% said they did not want the UK to back away from leaving.

A similar polarity in support can be seen in Jeremy Corbyn’s own ratings, according to another YouGov survey this week. It shows that the Labour leader has a net +40 approval rating among Remain supporters and a net -40 rating among Leave supporters.

Although Conservative voters are much more likely to favour a hard Brexit and immigration controls over free trade with the EU, today’s poll shows there is significant support among voters overall for a softer deal than that being proposed by Theresa May’s government.

More voters (26%) prioritise the continuation of free trade with the EU over controlling immigration (19%), but a still bigger proportion (39%) say they believe it is possible to have both. However, such a “cake-and-eat-it” option has been ruled out by the EU which has consistently stated the UK will not be allowed to remain part of the Single Market without accepting freedom of movement.

Today’s poll tries to reflect what may be the reality of the tough negotiations due to begin next week by asking voters to make a forced choice between continuing with tariff-free trade and controlling immigration with measures such as ending freedom of movement to and form the EU. The survey shows that across all voters, there is a preference for unrestricted trade over immigration controls by a margin of 42% to 36%. Labour voters would choose trade over immigration controls by a margin of 64% to 19%. Conservative voters, by contrast, would choose controlling immigration over trade by a slimmer but still substantial margin of 60% to 27%. For the Liberal Democrats the preference for trade over immigration controls is 69% versus 15%

 

Gurnek Bains, the founder and chief executive of Global Future, said:

“Some people claim the election we have just had shows support for leaving the single market because this is how they interpreted the policies of the Conservative and Labour parties. Our poll, however, suggests a clear preference amongst voters for prioritising trade and the economy over immigration.

“Today’s poll shows that the people who supported Labour last week would strongly support options to deliver the softest possible Brexit if Britain goes ahead with its departure from the EU. The overwhelming majority of Labour voters want an open, outward-looking country which could mean staying in the Single Market like Norway and Switzerland already do from outside the EU.

“If political leaders insist on – or enable – an extreme form of Brexit that prioritises immigration controls by taking Britain out of the Single Market and the Customs Union, they risk being on the wrong side of the electorate. Our poll suggests the Conservatives have already maxed-out on the hard Brexit vote and that Labour’s nuanced position, designed to appeal to both Leave and Remain supporters, may be out-of-kilter with the vast bulk of its voters.”

 

Notes to Editors:

1. All figures, unless otherwise stated are from YouGov Plc. Total sample size was 1,835 adults. Fieldwork was undertaken between June 14 to June 15. The survey was carried out online. The figures have been weighted and are representative of all GB adults (aged 18+).

2. Global Future is an independent think tank campaigning for Britain to be a vibrant and open nation that reaches out to the world. CEO Gurnek Bains has run YSC, a leadership consultancy, for 25 years to a position where it now has 20 international offices and a client base comprising over half of the FTSE100. Global Future’s advisory council includes:
Evelyn Bourke, CEO Bupa; Mike Coupe, CEO J Sainsbury plc; Jonathan Portes, Professor of Economics and Public Policy, King’s College London; Akram Khan, Internationally-acclaimed dancer and choreographer; Professor Miles Hewstone, Director, Oxford Centre for the Study of Intergroup Conflict; Lord Spencer Livermore, of Rotherhithe; Lord Andrew Cooper, of Windrush; Paul Roseby, CEO and Artistic Director, National Youth Theatre. Chief Executive Gurnek Bains has run YSC, a global leadership consultancy, for 25 years to a position where it now has 20 international offices and a client base comprising over half of the FTSE100 Read more

“I am a 19 year old student from London, currently reading Architecture in Edinburgh. I am a keen artist, writer, musician and aspiring architect. As a Briton with Nigerian parents, I feel as though I’m right on the threshold between my British Identity and my hereditary Nigerian Identity. Being in that cultural liminal space, I feel gives me a more rounded insight into both cultures, where I can learn from the various positives and negatives in both. Through the arts, I can attempt to explore both cultures and I am able to reconcile both sides of who I am.

As a young creative, my practice is dependent on inspiration from and partnerships with people from all walks of life. In light of the recent rise in the “nativism and narrow nationalism” that Our Global Future is rallying against, it is now imperative for creatives to come together to form a counter narrative of tolerance and community.”

Kome Eleyae
http://www.komeeleyae.com Read more

Our new report is out! We are delighted with its wide coverage in a number of respected international media platforms. We hope it moves the debate in the right direction. See more here:

Gurnek Bains, Global Future CEO speaking on Daily Politics
Friday 19 May 2017
Watch on BBC iPlayer (44.20 onwards)

Theresa May’s immigration pledge could have ‘catastrophic consequences’ for the UK economy
Ashley Cowburn Friday 19 May 2017 14.45 BST
Read on independent.co.uk

UK needs more immigrants to ‘avoid Brexit catastrophe’

Patrick Wintour Friday 19 May 2017 08.17 BST
Read on theguardian.com

100,000 target for annual net migration `catastrophic for economy´

Press Association Friday 19 May 2017 16.27 BST
Read on mailonline.com

Net Migration Must Be ‘Double Tory Target’ To Prevent Economic Crisis, Think Tank Says
Kate Forrester Friday 19 May 2017 16:37 BST
Read on huffingtonpost.co.uk

May’s Migrant Goal Catastrophic for Economy, Research Group Says
Charlotte Ryan Friday 19 May 2017 4:36 PM GMT+1
Read on bloomberg.com

Conservative manifesto 2017: 200,000 foreign workers needed to stop ‘catastrophe,’ say experts after Tory migration pledge
Joe Murphy Friday 19 May 2017 11:01 AM GMT
Read on standard.co.uk

This report is entitled the Case for Immigration and its substance is a serious, fact-based analysis of both the top-down and bottom-up needs for migrant workers in the years ahead.

The UK is close to full employment, has an ageing population and low productivity growth. These factors make immigration an essential ingredient of a successful economy in the years ahead. Global Future’s top-down economic view is that a net migration figure well in excess of 200,000 a year will be needed long into the future to avoid catastrophic consequences for the economy.

Read more

Global Future

Global Future